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It’s Not Just the Mortgage Anymore: Why Real Estate Costs Are Quietly Squeezing Homeowners

As headlines focus on interest rates and home prices, a quieter—but increasingly significant —threat is building beneath the surface of the housing market: the soaring cost of insurance and its ripple effect on affordability and investment risk. Over the last three years, homeowners across the U.S. have seen insurance premiums spike by 30% to 100% in high-risk zones, with no sign of slowing down. According to Insurify, the national average premium rose 20% in 2023 alone, with an additional 8% increase forecast for 2024. In some coastal and wildfire-prone regions, the cost of insuring a home now accounts for 20–30% of the total mortgage payment (PITI), up from just 10–12% pre-2020 ( Insurify, 2024 , ICE Mortgage Monitor, 2024).

The Real Cost: Insurance as a Growing Percentage of Your Mortgage

Most mortgage holders pay PITI—Principal, Interest, Taxes, and Insurance—as a bundled monthly payment. What used to be a manageable sliver of the housing expense pie is now eating away at cash flow:

Year

Avg. Insurance as % of PITI

Change from 2021

2021

7.7%

2024

9.4%

+22%

High-Risk Areas

15–30%

Up to +200%

Year

2021​

Avg. Insurance as % of PITI

7.7%​

Change from 2021

–​

Year

2024​

Avg. Insurance as % of PITI

9.4%​

Change from 2021

15–30%​

Year

High-Risk Areas​

Avg. Insurance as % of PITI

9.4%​

Change from 2021

Up to +200%​

(Source: ICE Mortgage Monitor, Axios Local Housing Reports, MarketWatch)

This has two critical consequences:

  1. Escrow Shock – Monthly payments can jump mid-year as insurers reprice and lenders adjust escrow.
  2. Mortgage Stress – Households on fixed incomes or with limited budget flexibility are at higher risk of delinquency or default.

The Hidden Risk in High-Risk Zones

Florida, Louisiana, coastal Texas, wildfire-prone California, and parts of Colorado are now seeing insurers exit the market. When traditional coverage disappears, homeowners are left with:

  • Costlier surplus-line insurers
  • Limited coverage
  • Forced-placed insurance (often 2–3x higher in cost)

This makes default risk in these regions not just a personal issue—but a systemic one.

From Crisis to Strategy: Approaches to Managing Risk

At Pisces Wealth Team, we believe financial clarity includes understanding emerging risks—not just reacting to them.

For our accredited and high-net-worth clients with exposure to real estate, we provide clients with access to a range of investment solutions, including structured products that may address specific risk exposures.

  • Short regions or asset classes sensitive to housing defaults or mortgage risk
  • Hedge mortgage-backed securities (MBS) tied to ZIP codes seeing the sharpest affordability declines
  • Take tactical positions in catastrophe bond ETFs, reinsurance-linked notes, and relative-value trades between real estate and climate finance

As an example of a strategy some investors use: We can allocate to products that overweight catastrophe reinsurance (RE) while underweighting REITs or credit exposures in South Florida, California hills, or Gulf Coast regions. This approach is designed to help manage risk and may offer diversification benefits during periods of market stress, although performance outcomes are not guaranteed.

What This Means for You

If you:

  • Own real estate in high-risk states
  • Rely on rental income from exposed properties
  • Hold ETFs or funds with concentrated REIT/MBS exposure
  • Are considering a second home purchase

…then it’s time for a deeper conversation about how invisible cost inflation is affecting your portfolio.

Our Takeaway

Ignoring the “other half” of housing costs—insurance, taxes, and forced maintenance—can leave portfolios exposed to asymmetric risk. By watching the fundamentals beyond interest rates, and leveraging structured risk tools, we aim to align your portfolio with strategies that seek to manage risks and pursue long-term financial objectives.

Ready to stress-test your real estate exposure or explore protection strategies?
Contact your Pisces Wealth Team advisor to schedule a Portfolio Resilience Review.

Disclosures:

Pisces Wealth Team (“PWT”) is a division and “doing business as” (DBA) name of Keating Financial Advisory Services, Inc. (“KFAS”), an SEC-registered investment advisor. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Services are offered only where KFAS and its advisors are properly licensed or exempt.

All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or protect against loss.

Examples and strategies discussed are for informational purposes only, are not individualized recommendations, and may not be suitable for all investors. There is no guarantee that any strategy will achieve its objectives, and they may underperform other approaches.

Structured products, catastrophe bonds, and other alternative investments are complex and may involve significant market, credit, and liquidity risks, including possible total loss. Investors should carefully review offering documents and consult with a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Information from third-party sources (e.g., Insurify, ICE Mortgage Monitor, MarketWatch) is believed to be reliable but has not been independently verified and is subject to change. Any forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain and actual outcomes may differ.